The transport construction investment project effectiveness assessment by Monte Carlo Method-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

The transport construction investment project effectiveness assessment by Monte Carlo Method

Published:2020-08-01 Issue:5 Volume:913 Page:052006
ISSN:1757-8981
Container-title:IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering
language:
Short-container-title:IOP Conf. Ser.: Mater. Sci. Eng.

Author:

Kazaku E V,Zvereva E V,Tsarionova Ju V

Abstract

Abstract The study focuses on the effectiveness basis of the transport construction investment projects operating at three investment levels, taking into account risks using the Monte Carlo simulation method. The model on the example of a railway line has been developed. An assessment of the investments’ budgetary, social and commercial effectiveness based on the investment sources has been provided. A comprehensive criterion for substantiating the effectiveness of a project operating at three investment levels, taking risk into account, has been proposed. A risk profile has been built. The average value of the risk level using the Monte Carlo method has been estimated. An example of substantiating the effectiveness of an investment project taking into account the risk of building a railway line has been given.

Publisher

IOP Publishing

Subject

General Medicine

Link

https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1757-899X/913/5/052006/pdf

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