Assessment of the prospects for energy construction under conditions of increasing share of electrified transport

Abstract

Abstract The electrification of personal and public transport is a worldwide trend. The indicators of some countries demonstrate a rapid rejection of fossil fuel use and conversion to electric traction, which in turn exacerbates the problem of a shortage of energy capacities. The Russian Federation is no exception. The current lag of Russia behind the world leaders in matters of electrification of transport simultaneously determines the possible prospects for a rapid increase in the number of electric vehicles in our country, which inevitably should be accompanied by the process of updating old and commissioning new energy capacities. The study aims to assess, within the framework of the Krasnodar agglomeration, the size of the prospective demand for electric energy upon reaching 100% electrification of public transport and 15% electrification of personal vehicles. Simultaneously, the issue of choosing the most priority type of generation from nuclear power plants to alternative energy sources for a given region is considered. Based on the results of assessing the need and choosing the most promising type of generating center, a conclusion is made about the relevance of construction in the city of Krasnodar by 2035 of a thermal generation facility and facilities of alternative generation of low power outside the city.