Prospects for motorization and energy markets in the context of fully autonomous vehicles spread

Abstract

Abstract The report is devoted to two interrelated issues: the impact of penetration of fully autonomous cars and car sharing on the car fleets, and in combination with an increase of the share of electric vehicles on the volume and structure of energy demand. For this, forecasting tools and motorization scenarios have been developed. Forecasts for car fleet and energy demand were obtained for Russia and the largest economies in the world (China, USA, EU, India, Japan).