ANN: Prediction of Per Capita Income Rural Community on Poverty Line Based on Province

Abstract

Abstract The problem of poverty is a fundamental problem that is of concern to every country. The Indonesian state has established a poverty reduction program as the main program. Poverty occurs in urban and rural communities. This research raises the problem of poverty in rural communities. The contribution of research to the government is to predict the per capita income of rural communities according to the poverty line based on the future provinces. The data used is data from the National Statistics Agency. These data are 2015 semester 1 data up to 2018 semester 1. The algorithm for its completion uses the artificial neural network backpropagation method. Input data is 2015 data for the 1 to 2017 semester 2. The training and testing architecture model is 4, namely 6-2-1, 6-3-1, 6-2-3-1, and 6-3-2-1. Target data is 2018 semester 1 data. The best architectural model is 6-2-1 with 79 epoch, MSE 0,004801 and 100% accuracy rate. From this model, a prediction of rural income per capita in the poverty line is based on the provinces of each province in Indonesia.