Precipitation nowcasting method based on Spatial-Temporal Dual Discriminators

Abstract

Abstract The prediction of radar echo sequence images is a spatiotemporal sequence forecasting problem, which is one of the main challenges in precipitation nowcasting. Addressing issues such as poor extraction of spatiotemporal features by previous models and blurry image sequence predictions, this study proposes a Spatial-Temporal dual Discriminator Precipitation Nowcasting Model (STD-SNGAN) based on spectral normalization generative adversarial networks (SNGAN). The model utilizes multi-scale convolution modules (Inception) to extract spatial features from radar echo images and convolutional gated recurrent units (ConvGRU) to extract temporal features between feature maps. By introducing a hidden feature sampler to enhance the extraction capability of the convolutional gated recurrent units and designing spatial-temporal dual discriminators to constrain the generator’s predicted samples, the spatiotemporal forecasting ability is enhanced. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed STD-SNGAN model outperforms other algorithms in critical success index (CSI) and probability of detection (POD) for high echo intensity and long-term regions.