Power prediction using high-resolution SCADA data with a farm-wide deep neural network approach

Abstract

Abstract Accurate loss estimation methods with a high level of temporal granularity are necessary to enable the implementation of efficient and adaptable control strategies for wind farms. Predictive models for the power of wind turbines within a wind farm are investigated using high-resolution SCADA data and deep learning methodologies. Traditional physical models offer detailed insights but are computationally expensive. Statistical models face limitations in handling wind energy variability. In this study, deep learning models are explored to capture spatial and temporal dynamics, with four models developed: Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), Long Short-Term Memory network (LSTM), and a hybrid CNN-LSTM model. SCADA data from an offshore wind farm is preprocessed, anomalies removed, and annotated based on operational regions. The models are trained, validated, and tested, demonstrating improved accuracy over baseline methods. The hybrid model, incorporating spatial and temporal information, yields the highest predictive performance, showcasing the significance of these dimensions in wind power prediction.