Energy Performance Certificate Estimation at Large Scale Based on Open Data

Abstract

Abstract This paper presents an innovative methodology for enhancing energy efficiency assessment procedures in the built environment, with a focus on the Switzerland’s Energy Strategy 2050. The current methodology necessitates intensive expert surveys, leading to substantial time and cost implications. Also, such a process can’t be scaled to a large number of buildings. Using machine learning techniques, the estimation process is augmented and exploit open data resources. Utilizing a robust dataset exceeding 70’000 energy performance certificates (CECB), the method devises a two-stage ML approach to forecast energy performance. The first phase involves data reconstruction from online repositories, while the second employs a regression algorithm to estimate the energy efficiency. The proposed approach addresses the limitations of existing machine learning methods by offering finer prediction granularity and incorporating readily available data. The results show a commendable degree of prediction accuracy, particularly for single-family residences. Despite this, the study reveals a demand for further granular data, and underlines privacy concerns associated with such data collection. In summary, this investigation provides a significant contribution to the enhancement of energy efficiency assessment methodologies and policy-making.