Prediction Insolvency of Insurance Companies Using Random Forest

Author:

Rustam Z,Saragih G

Abstract

Abstract Insurance companies have an important role in economy because they support every insured companies, so it is guaranteed financially, therefore is important to predict the insolvency of insurance companies. Insolvency prediction is like an early warning system for insurance companies. Rustam and Yaurita had predicted insolvency of insurance company by using Spanish non-life insurance firm data from Prof. Dr. Maria Jesus Segovia using support vector machines and fuzzy kernel c-means as classifiers (2018). Furthermore, this research is novel based on the use of random forest as a classifier. The result obtained is reported in percentage of accuracy, both in training and testing of random forest, which was 100% while used 50% training data with entropy and the number of estimators is 100 as hyperparameters. This classification, therefore, shows the best value in contrast with prior methods, even though only 50% of training data set was used.

Publisher

IOP Publishing

Subject

General Physics and Astronomy

Reference20 articles.

1. The Importance of Insurance Companies for Financial Stability,2009

2. Role of Insurance Companies in Financial Market;Ivan;Faculty of Business Economics and Entrepreneruship, International Review,2015

3. Using Best’s Ratings in Life Insurer Insolvency Prediction;Ambrose;The Journal of Risk and Insurance,1994

4. Underwriting, Investment, and Solvency;Bar-Niv;Journal of Insurance Regulation,1987

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