Kinematic accuracy reliability evaluation method of space deployable mechanism based on dynamic model

Abstract

Abstract Space deployable mechanisms are widely used in aerospace missions. The uncertainties in the geometric or physical parameters seriously affect the kinematic accuracy of the mechanism during the deployment process. In this paper, a kinematic accuracy reliability evaluation method of the space deployable mechanism based on dynamic model and adaptive hybrid surrogate models is presented. Firstly, the dynamic model of the space deployable mechanism is established based on the Lagrange method, and the motion error function considering the factors such as the mass, dimension and load is established. In order to improve the efficiency, an adaptive hybrid surrogate model reliability evaluation method based on improved weight measurement method is further proposed. The weight measurement method considers the global errors and local errors of the models. Finally, the Monte Carlo method is used to verify the accuracy of the hybrid surrogate model method. The relative error of the failure probability calculated by the proposed method is within 2.5 %, indicating that the proposed method has high calculation accuracy and efficiency.