CO2 fertilization enhances vegetation productivity and reduces ecological drought in India

Abstract

Abstract Higher warming will affect more regions globally with intensified agricultural and ecological droughts. Higher CO2 concentration improves vegetation’s water use efficiency (WUE), but its potential to alleviate extreme agricultural and ecological droughts is unclear. India is the second-highest contributor to global greening, having two of the eight global hottest biodiversity hotspots. Here, for the first time, using the CMIP6 earth system models (ESMs), we found an increase in the net vegetation productivity in India at the rate of 10.552 TgC year−1 with 1% per year increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration from 285 ppm to 1140 ppm, contrary to global trends. The improved WUE resulting from carbon fertilization and higher rain under warming will supersede the increased evapotranspiration water loss due to radiative effects. We found that the substantial increase in vegetation productivity in India attributes to plant physiology, and such factor needs to be considered in the drought projections.