The link between intertropical convergence zone stagnation and bias in local shortwave cloud radiative forcing over tropical Africa in climate models

Abstract

Abstract The northward migration of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) is a significant feature of the West African (WA) monsoon. An accurate simulation of ITCZ migration is essential for the realistic representation of WA precipitation in global coupled models. In this study, we employ the energetics and dynamics framework with a subset of CMIP6 models to investigate the bias in the simulated WA precipitation. Models were found to simulate more local positive (negative) shortwave cloud radiative forcing (SWCRF) in the Southeastern Atlantic Ocean (over the African continent). The effect of the excess local SWCRF is linked to the stagnation of the ITCZ latitudinal migration and the associated biases in the asymmetry index of precipitation. In the models, there is more (less) moist static energy in the lower (mid and upper) troposphere than in the reanalysis. The worst models have a stronger bias, especially over land. The vertical transport of moisture is confined to the boundary layer in the worst model ensemble. In most cases, the high-resolution coupled models show substantial northward migration of the ITCZ compared to the low-resolution models. Furthermore, the best-performing models capture local circulation and energetic processes more accurately than the worst-performing models.