Empirical Study on China’s Energy Development under the Target of Carbon Emissions

Abstract

Abstract Carbon dioxide is the inevitable product of the use of fossil fuels and is the main cause of global warming. In 2018, global carbon dioxide emissions reached 33.89 billion tons. Under the Kyoto protocol, countries are taking measures to reduce carbon emissions. China has pledged to peak its carbon emissions by 2030 and will work hard to reach the peak as soon as possible. This paper studies the development trend of fossil energy and the development space of renewable energy in China under the constraint of carbon emission by using mathematical models from an empirical perspective, and briefly analyzes its feasibility, and obtained preliminary conclusions. By 2030, total energy consumption will increase by 34 percent, fossil energy by 17 percent and non-fossil energy by 116 percent, accounting for about 24.4 percent of total energy consumption. This paper will forecast the total energy consumption from 2019 to 2030 according to the calculation model.