Dynamics of dengue hemorrhagic fever incidence and climate as potential factors in Palembang 2013 – 2019

Abstract

Abstract Palembang is one of the dengue hemorrhagic fever endemic areas, the incidence of dengue hemorrhagic fever in 2019 is still high, namely 697 cases, out of 18 Districts in Palembang, 9 Districts are endemic areas of DHF. Environmental factors are factors that play a role in the incidence of DHF, including the physical environment, namely the climate element. This research is an ecological study with the aim of looking at the influence and correlation between the fluctuation of climatic factors and the dynamics of dengue hemorrhagic fever incidence in Palembang in 2013-2019. The results showed that air temperature and the number of rainy days had a significant effect on the dynamics of dengue hemorrhagic fever moderate strength is towards positive, and wind speed has significant effect with moderate strength towards negative. Meanwhile, the amount of rainfall, rainfall index, air humidity and long exposure to the sun had no significant effect with a weak relationship. The results of this study can be used as a policy in decision making and environmental risk management and climate factors can predict and control the incidence of dengue fever in Palembang.