Hypocenter Determination of Volcano-Tectonic (VT) Earthquake around Agung Volcano in Period October-December 2017 Using a Non-Linear Location Method: A Preliminary Result

Abstract

Abstract Agung is one of active volcanoes in Indonesia, located on island of Bali. Since 1963, Agung has not had significant activity, until in September 2017 the volcano was active again which was marked by increased seismic activity and eruptions in November 2017. Therefore, to analyze the dynamics and processes of active volcanic eruptions requires an understanding of the structure of the volcano, especially the position of the magma reservoir and its path. The depiction of the structure of this volcano can be analyzed by determining the location of the earthquake due to volcanic activity, especially Volcano-Tectonic (VT) earthquake. In this study, we determined the location of the hypocenter around the Agung using the non-linear location method. VT earthquakes have similar characteristics to tectonic earthquakes so this method can be used to determine the initial hypocenter. The data used in this study came from 8 PVMBG seismographs from October to December 2017. We manually picking arrival time of P- and S-waves from the 3948 VT events found. Pair of P and S wave phases with 18741 P-wave phases and 17237 S-wave phases, plotted in a wadati diagram resulting in a vp/vs ratio of 1.7117. We use 1D velocity models derived from Koulakov with the assumption that the geology of the study area is not much different from the volcanoes in Central Java. The resulting hypocenter distribution shows a very random location and has uncertain X, Y, and Z directions from a range of 0 to 91 km. This study limits this uncertainty to 5 km resulting in a more reliable earthquakes distribution of 3050 events. The results indicate 2 clustered events, a swarm of VT events that occur every month at a depth of 8 to 15 km and there are 2 paths that lead to the top of Agung and SW of that swarm. These preliminary results will be used to update 1D velocity model and relocate the events beneath Agung region for further studies.