Management system for development of the dairy industry in the context of digitalization

Abstract

Abstract This study covers the problem of managing the development of the dairy industry. One of the tasks is the need to develop a non-standard approach to the theoretical foundations of regulation of this industry and recommendations for its practical application. The study is based on the methodology of systemic, integrated and territorial approaches using methods of economic interpretation of research results, operational and comparative analyzes. Scientific novelty lies in the theoretical substantiation of a multi-level paradoxical model of the relationship between the parameters of the dairy industry. The paradox is the hypothesis that there is a relationship between the regulatory impact and the parameters of the dairy industry, having a functional relationship with it (the correlation coefficient is close to 0), through a multi-level chain of indirect relationships of parameters that have a closer relationship with the regulator and indicators that are dependent on it indirectly. To implement the proposed hypothesis, a new mechanism of action is needed, which allows, on the basis of actual data taken from open sources, developing separate digital models of the dairy industry for the subjects of the Russian Federation. The maximum margin of error of such models shall not exceed 10 %. Based on the results of developing a digital model and testing its information and computer technology, it was concluded that it should be used in forecasting processes for the development of the dairy industry, depending on the regulatory impacts expressed by the invested amount of state support funds. Testing of the proposed theory is carried out according to the results of 3 scenarios of forecasting the development of the dairy industry in the Novosibirsk oblast for a 2-year period, calculated based on the proposed digital technology.