Concerning prognostic estimations on hazardous weather events: a road to nowhere or to home?

Abstract

Abstract Changes of local climate dynamics influence on the demand of fuel-energy facilities and on the choice of priorities of the most promising technological processes of production and transportation of fuel-energy resources. The corresponding adjustment is quite inertial, so, it is a point of the long-term strategy of development of a fuel and energy complex. Meantime, manipulations of a public opinion regarding the climate change problems occurs due to an audience prefers to remain within habitual empirical considerations and to listen to bright media talkers skillfully juggling various futuristic conclusions about the climate instead of accurate-but-tedious scientific proofs demanding sufficient interdisciplinary training and careful verifications by real physical data. The paper cautions about extremely dangerous harvests of unexampled climate-related damages that are grown soon on such fruitful populist fields. The paper notes substitutions of purposes by tools and demonstrates in what extent traditional estimations on climate-related hazards can be far from the real ones because of many potentialities of local climate changes are originally latent from the scope of the dominating concept on “averaging” climate norms. The paper will be interesting to responsible researchers, practitioners and citizenry oriented to efficient work to hold back from the transition towards the destructive-for-human-activities novel global climate.