Prior and Posterior Assessments of Failure Scenario Probabilities and Environmental Risks at Hazardous Industrial Facilities

Author:

Makhutov N A,Reznikov D O

Abstract

Abstract The paper presents an approach for obtaining prior and posterior assessments of probabilities of various failure scenarios and risks at hazardous industrial facilities. The approach is based on the toolkit of Bayesian nets and allows accounting for new information that is obtained at the stage of the facility operation from monitoring systems and technical inspections. The presented approach can be used for developing risk-based inspection planning and risk-based management programs for hazardous industrial facilities.

Publisher

IOP Publishing

Subject

General Engineering

Reference10 articles.

1. Assessment of large-scale catastrophes in complex engineering systems;Makhutov;IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering,2019

2. Management of risks induced by hazardous industrial facilities

3. Matrix based methods for assessment of risks induced by complex technical systems 2020;Reznikov;Procedia Structural Integrity

4. Bayesian Networks without Tears;Charniak;AI Magazine,1991

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