Ecological-Mathematical Modeling in Planning Production of Agricultural Products in Conditions of Risks

Author:

Ivanyo Ya M,Petrova S A,Kovaleva E A

Abstract

Abstract The article proposes an ecological-mathematical model to optimize the production of agricultural products, taking into account the risks associated with climatic events. The model describes a combination of crop and livestock production on irrigated and non-irrigated agricultural land. In this model, the target function characterizes the maximum income and damage to the environment as a result of farming in conditions of natural risks. Restrictions describe the availability of land and labor resources, production volumes, soil and water pollution, erosion of agricultural land, the combination of crop and livestock products in conditions of severe droughts or heavy rainfall. When implementing the model, a special case was considered: an ecological-mathematical model for non-irrigated lands, taking into account severe drought. The proposed model is implemented on the example of an agricultural enterprise in the Irkutsk region, which is subject to significant risks caused by extreme climatic events, primarily drought.

Publisher

IOP Publishing

Subject

General Engineering

Reference16 articles.

1. Algorithm of realization of ecological-mathematical problems of optimization of agricultural production in conditions of uncertainty;Ivanyo;Proceedings of VSU, Series: systems analysis and information technologies,2020

2. Modeling the ecological and economic efficiency of regional agricultural production;Gonova,2013

3. Ecological and economic aspects of increasing the energy productivity of agricultural land in models of optimal farming;Akmarov;Bulletin of the Perm National Research Polytechnic University. Socio-economic sciences,2012

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