Origin-destination matrix estimation in Solo agglomeration with the maximum likelihood method

Abstract

Abstract The movement of vehicles is one form of fulfilling community needs. High vehicle movement can cause transportation problems, one of which is congestion. To overcome this problem, planning a transportation system is essential. Using the EMME/4 program, we analyzed the distribution of movements in the Origin Destination Matrix (MAT) using a gravity model. Using the User’s Equilibrium method, the study aims to determine the parameter β, data validity value (R2), and movement patterns. The research study area was carried out in Solo Agglomeration with 19 zones. The results indicate a β value of 0.0796 (R2 = 0.817), with an estimated Solo Agglomeration movement of 34428 passenger-car-units per hour in 2023. The most extensive distribution of movements occurred within internal movements, making up 62.85%, while the smallest were external-external movements, accounting only for 4.01%.