Mapping potential surface contributions to reflected solar radiation

Abstract

Abstract Modifying Earth’s albedo is one of the strategies considered to reduce its energy imbalance and slow global warming by reflecting solar energy. Atmospheric contributions to reflected solar radiation through stratospheric aerosols or cloud brightening have received considerable attention; however, the efficacy of surface interventions is less understood. We address this gap by estimating the potential for surface contributions to reflected solar radiation at approximately 30 km resolution using a simple radiative transfer model. Long-term average annual-mean incoming and outgoing top-of-atmosphere and surface solar fluxes are input to determine atmospheric shortwave optical properties (i.e., transmittance, absorptance, and reflectance), which can be used with surface albedo to estimate surface-reflected outgoing solar radiation. A comparison of reanalysis- and satellite-based input datasets shows good agreement. The results indicate global annual-mean surface-reflected outgoing solar radiation potential of 109 Wm−2, nearly a factor of five larger than the actual value, and local areas where it could be increased above 200 Wm−2 with surface albedo enhancement. Regions with particularly strong potential include Andean South America, the Middle East, southwestern North America, southwestern Africa, Australia, and the sub-equatorial tropical oceans. Future research could extend the methods to account for seasonal variations and the potential to mitigate extreme heat events in particular.