ENSO phase-locking behavior in climate models: from CMIP5 to CMIP6

Author:

Liu MinghongORCID,Ren Hong-Li,Zhang Renhe,Ineson Sarah,Wang Run

Abstract

Abstract The phase-locking behavior of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in models from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) phase 5 to phase 6 is assessed in terms of the locking-month of ENSO peak and the sharpness of locking tendency. Overall, a robust improvement exists in CMIP6. Compared to CMIP5, more CMIP6 models truly reproduce the locking-month in November-January. Meanwhile, the sharpness of phase-locking in CMIP6 models also improves, though most of them are still far from the observations. The locking-month is verified to be highly corresponding to the phase of seasonal modulation of ENSO’s instabilities. The sharpness is mainly controlled by the intensity of this modulation and noise. Compared to CMIP5, CMIP6 models generally simulate these affecting factors better. Besides, models displaying an exaggerated semi-annual variation of ENSO’s instabilities simulate the ENSO phase-locking relative-poorly, and these models show no reduction from CMIP5 to CMIP6.

Funder

UK-China Research & Innovation Partnership Fund

China National Key Research and Development Program on Monitoring, Early Warning and Prevention of Major Natural Disaster

Chinese National Science Foundation

Publisher

IOP Publishing

Subject

Atmospheric Science,Earth-Surface Processes,Geology,Agricultural and Biological Sciences (miscellaneous),General Environmental Science,Food Science

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