The impact of NAFTA on US employment: a preliminary assessment of job gains and losses from expanded trade with Mexico

Abstract

Assesses the extent to which increased bilateral trade between the USA and Mexico has impacted on the employment situation in the USA since the beginning of 1994. Provides a descriptive summary of bilateral trade flows between the USA and Mexico in recent years. Provides a review of recent research on the topic and gives an account of job losses associated with increased imports from Mexico. Attempts to show how changes in exports targeted for Mexico correspond to job creation in the domestic economy and provides a tentative forecast of the job effects of increased exports to Mexico in recent years.