Foresight impacts from around the world: a special issue

Author:

Calof Jonathan,Smith Jack E.

Abstract

PurposeThe aim of this article and special issue is to propose a framework for foresight impacts on policy and decision making. The need to identify direct impacts, measure them and identify the factors that lead to impact is the primary objective of the special issue and, as outlined in the article, represents a critical addition to the foresight field. On the basis of case studies, experience, and theoretical‐evaluative frameworks this issue seels to offer suggestions regarding the factors that may help policy makers, academics, consultants, and others involved in foresight produce impactful results.Design/methodology/approachThe methodology deployed for this article is both empirical and meta analysis. This introductory article is based on the special issue articles as well as the authors' extensive practical experiences in foresight.FindingsForesight does impact policy. Case studies and experiences in Europe, North America, Africa and Asia identified in the special issue provide support for this. Also, as difficult as it is to measure impact, the authors explore several frameworks that will help the foresight community demonstrate impact and prove the value of foresight.Originality/valueThe article highlights several frameworks that will help the foresight community demonstrate impact and prove the value of foresight.

Publisher

Emerald

Subject

Business and International Management,Management of Technology and Innovation

Reference15 articles.

1. Amanatidou, E. and Guy, K. (2008), “Interpreting foresight process impacts: steps towards the development of a framework conceptualising the dynamics of ‘foresight systems’”, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 75 No. 4, pp. 539‐57.

2. Calof, J. and Smith, J. (2010), “Critical success factors for government‐led foresight”, Science and Public Policy, Vol. 37 No. 1, pp. 31‐40.

3. European Foresight Monitoring Network (2011), available at: www.foresightnetwork.eu/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=13&Itemid=52 (accessed December 10, 2011).

4. Georghiou, L. (1998), “Issues in the evaluation of innovation and technology policy”, Evaluation, Vol. 4 No. 1, pp. 37‐51.

5. Georghiou, L. and Keenan, M. (2008), “Evaluation and impact of foresight”, in Georghiou, L., Cassingena Harper, J., Keenan, M., Miles, I. and Popper, R. (Eds), The Handbook of Technology Foresight: Concepts and Practice, Edward Elgar, Cheltenham.

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