Climate change and military planning
Abstract
Purpose
– The paper aims to investigate the consequences of climate change for the future of armed forces and their presentation in national security documents.
Design/methodology/approach
– A classification of potential future military roles and functions is derived from relevant literature, resulting in six “military futures”. Frames are developed for these whose occurrence is counted in 53 authoritative documents on security policy and defense planning from 38 countries. Results are presented in descriptive statistics.
Findings
– The paper demonstrates that climate change has become an important issue for military planning. However, the directions in which it takes thinking about the future of armed forces differ widely. Among the six “military futures” identified, those linked to the function of disaster relief are most frequently found. However, the expansion of traditional military roles is also promoted. Rarer are suggestions for armed forces to became “greener” or “leaner”. In general, climate change provides an additional justification for continuing established paths for military planning.
Originality/value
– The paper makes two contributions to the existing literature. First, it provides a classification of potential future consequences of climate change for armed forces. Second, it empirically establishes, for a set of authoritative documents, the relative importance of differing expectation of the effects of climate change on the structure and functions of militaries.
Subject
Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law,Development,Geography, Planning and Development,Global and Planetary Change
Reference46 articles.
1. Balzacq, T.
(2012),
Securitization Theory: How Security Problems Emerge and Dissolve
, Routledge, London. 2. Brauch, H.
(2009), “Securitizing global environmental change”, in
Brauch, H.
,
Ostwald Spring,, U.
,
Grin, J.
,
Mesjasz, C. Kameri-Mbote, P., Chadha Behera, N., Chouru, B.
and
Krummenacher, H. (Eds
),
Facing Environmental Change: Environmental, Human, Energy, Food, Health and Water Security Concepts
, Springer, Heidelberg, pp. 65-104. 3. Brzoska, M.
(2009), “The securitization of climate change and the power of conceptions of security”,
Sicherheit und Frieden/Security and Peace
, Vol. 27 No. 3, pp. 137-145. 4. Brzoska, M.
(2012a), “Climate change and the military in China, Russia, the United Kingdom and the United States”,
Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
, Vol. 68 No. 2, pp. 43-54. 5. Brzoska, M.
(2012b), “Climate change in national security and defense planning documents”, in
Scheffran, J.
,
Brzoska, M.
,
Brauch, H.
,
Link, M.
and
Schilling, J. (Eds
),
Climate Change, Human Security and Violent Conflict
, Vol. 8, Hexagon Series, Springer, Heidelberg.
Cited by
15 articles.
订阅此论文施引文献
订阅此论文施引文献，注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献，订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献
|
|