Regional and global contagion in real estate investment trusts

Author:

Milunovich George,Trück Stefan

Abstract

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to investigate contagion between real estate investment trusts (REITs) within and across three geographical regions: North America, Europe and Asia‐Pacific. The paper also examines excess comovement between the considered national REIT markets on the one hand, and broad equity indices on the other. In particular, the authors are interested in contagion between the considered markets during the 2007‐2009 GFC period in comparison to the entire 2004‐2011 sample period.Design/methodology/approachUsing an international factor pricing framework similar to Bekaert, Harvey and Ng, the paper defines contagion as excess comovement between two financial markets, after removing the effects of the underlying economic fundamentals, i.e. risk factors, and time‐changing volatility. Controlling for economic factors is important for distinguishing between pure contagion and information spillovers, which may transmit through existing economic channels. The authors then analyse excess correlations between the derived standardized residuals, for REITS and equity markets in order to investigate excess comovement between the indices during the whole sample and GFC period.FindingsThe paper finds no evidence of excess comovement between the considered REIT and equity indices during non‐crisis sample intervals. However, the paper finds contagion between several national REITs and regional or global equity markets during the GFC period. The paper reports statistically significant excess correlations between national REITs and regional and world real estate markets during the entire sample period, while there is only limited evidence to suggest that the correlation amongst REIT markets has increased during the GFC period. The paper concludes that a similar degree of dependence persisted among national REIT markets over the crisis and non‐crisis sample periods for most markets.Originality/valueDespite the ongoing debate on contagion in financial markets, there is only a small body of literature investigating contagion specifically for property or real estate markets. This is even more surprising, since the GFC originated from a subprime mortgage crisis and was, therefore, heavily related to real estate. The paper extends the literature by testing for contagion between REITs considering eleven national markets across three geographical regions. In contrast, the existing literature is typically constrained to a significantly smaller number of markets. The paper also explicitly takes into account the impact of the recent GFC, and tests for contagion over this period.

Publisher

Emerald

Subject

General Economics, Econometrics and Finance,Finance,General Business, Management and Accounting,General Economics, Econometrics and Finance,Finance,General Business, Management and Accounting

Reference50 articles.

1. Barberis, N., Shleifer, A. and Wurgler, J. (2005), “Co‐movement”, Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 75, pp. 283‐317.

2. Bekaert, G., Harvey, C. and Ng, A. (2005), “Market integration and contagion”, The Journal of Business, Vol. 78 No. 1, pp. 39‐69.

3. Bessler, W. and Nohel, T. (2000), “Asymmetric information, dividend reductions, and contagion effects in bank stock returns”, Journal of Banking & Finance, Vol. 24 No. 11, pp. 1831‐48.

4. Bollerslev, T. and Wooldridge, J.M. (1992), “Quasi‐maximum likelihood estimation and inference in dynamic models with time‐varying covariances”, Econometric Reviews, Vol. 1, pp. 143‐73.

5. Bond, S.A., Dungey, M. and Fry, R. (2006), “A web of shocks: crises across Asian real estate markets”, Journal of Real Estate Financial Economics, Vol. 32, pp. 253‐74.

Cited by 21 articles. 订阅此论文施引文献 订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3