The scientific value of numerical measures of human feelings

Author:

Kaiser Caspar12ORCID,Oswald Andrew J.134ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Wellbeing Research Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 3TD United Kingdom

2. Institute for New Economic Thinking, Department of Social Policy and Intervention, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 2ER United Kingdom

3. Department of Economics, CAGE Centre, University of Warwick, Coventry, CV4 7AL United Kingdom

4. Institut zur Zukunft der Arbeit (IZA), Bonn, 53113 Germany

Abstract

Human feelings measured in integers ( my happiness is an 8 out of 10 , my pain 2 out of 6 ) have no objective scientific basis. They are “made-up” numbers on a scale that does not exist. Yet such data are extensively collected—despite criticism from, especially, economists—by governments and international organizations. We examine this paradox. We draw upon longitudinal information on the feelings and decisions of tens of thousands of randomly sampled citizens followed through time over four decades in three countries ( n = 700,000 approximately). First, we show that a single feelings integer has greater predictive power than does a combined set of economic and social variables. Second, there is a clear inverse relationship between feelings integers and subsequent get-me-out-of-here actions (in the domain of neighborhoods, partners, jobs, and hospital visits). Third, this feelings-to-actions relationship takes a generic form, is consistently replicable, and is fairly close to linear in structure. Therefore, it seems that human beings can successfully operationalize an integer scale for feelings even though there is no true scale. How individuals are able to achieve this is not currently known. The implied scientific puzzle—an inherently cross-disciplinary one—demands attention.

Funder

EC | European Research Council

Publisher

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

Subject

Multidisciplinary

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