Advantageous early-life environments cushion the genetic risk for ischemic heart disease

Author:

Baker Samuel1ORCID,Biroli Pietro2ORCID,van Kippersluis Hans3ORCID,von Hinke Stephanie14

Affiliation:

1. School of Economics, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 1TU, United Kingdom

2. Department of Economic Sciences, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy

3. Erasmus School of Economics, Erasmus University Rotterdam, 3062 PA Rotterdam, The Netherlands

4. Institute for Fiscal Studies, London WC1E 7AE, United Kingdom

Abstract

In one of the first papers on the impact of early-life conditions on individuals’ health in older age, Barker and Osmond [ Lancet , 327 , 1077–1081 (1986)] show a strong positive relationship between infant mortality rates in the 1920s and ischemic heart disease in the 1970s. We merge historical data on infant mortality rates to 370,000 individual records in the UK Biobank using information on local area and year of birth. We replicate the association between the early-life infant mortality rate and later-life ischemic heart disease in our sample. We then go “beyond Barker,” by showing considerable genetic heterogeneity in this association that is robust to within-area as well as within-family analyses. We find no association between the polygenic index and heart disease in areas with the lowest infant mortality rates, but a strong positive relationship in areas characterized by high infant mortality. These findings suggest that advantageous environments can cushion one’s genetic disease risk.

Funder

EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme

EC | ERC | HORIZON EUROPE European Research Council

UKRI | Medical Research Council

Publisher

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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