The effect of climate change on avian offspring production: A global meta-analysis-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

The effect of climate change on avian offspring production: A global meta-analysis

Published:2023-05 Issue:19 Volume:120 Page:
ISSN:0027-8424
Container-title:Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
language:en
Short-container-title:Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A.

Author:

Halupka Lucyna¹^ORCID,Arlt Debora²³^ORCID,Tolvanen Jere⁴^ORCID,Millon Alexandre⁵⁶^ORCID,Bize Pierre⁷^ORCID,Adamík Peter⁸⁹^ORCID,Albert Pascal¹⁰,Arendt Wayne J.¹¹^ORCID,Artemyev Alexander V.¹²^ORCID,Baglione Vittorio¹³^ORCID,Bańbura Jerzy¹⁴^ORCID,Bańbura Mirosława¹⁴,Barba Emilio¹⁵^ORCID,Barrett Robert T.¹⁶,Becker Peter H.¹⁷^ORCID,Belskii Eugen¹⁸^ORCID,Bolton Mark¹⁹,Bowers E. Keith²⁰^ORCID,Bried Joël²¹²²^ORCID,Brouwer Lyanne²³²⁴^ORCID,Bukacińska Monika²⁵^ORCID,Bukaciński Dariusz²⁵^ORCID,Bulluck Lesley²⁶,Carstens Kate F.²⁷^ORCID,Catry Inês²⁸²⁹³⁰^ORCID,Charter Motti³¹^ORCID,Chernomorets Anna³²^ORCID,Covas Rita²⁷²⁸³⁰^ORCID,Czuchra Monika³³^ORCID,Dearborn Donald C.³⁴³⁵^ORCID,de Lope Florentino³⁶,Di Giacomo Adrián S.³⁷,Dombrovski Valery C.³⁸^ORCID,Drummond Hugh³⁹^ORCID,Dunn Michael J.⁴⁰^ORCID,Eeva Tapio⁴¹^ORCID,Emmerson Louise M.⁴²^ORCID,Espmark Yngve⁴³,Fargallo Juan A.⁴⁴^ORCID,Gashkov Sergey I.⁴⁵^ORCID,Golubova Elena Yu.⁴⁶,Griesser Michael⁴⁷⁴⁸⁴⁹^ORCID,Harris Michael P.⁵⁰^ORCID,Hoover Jeffrey P.⁵¹^ORCID,Jagiełło Zuzanna⁵²^ORCID,Karell Patrik⁵³⁵⁴^ORCID,Kloskowski Janusz⁵²^ORCID,Koenig Walter D.⁵⁵⁵⁶^ORCID,Kolunen Heikki⁵⁷,Korczak-Abshire Małgorzata⁵⁸^ORCID,Korpimäki Erkki⁴¹^ORCID,Krams Indrikis⁵⁹⁶⁰⁶¹^ORCID,Krist Miloš⁸⁹^ORCID,Krüger Sonja C.⁶²⁶³^ORCID,Kuranov Boris D.⁶⁴,Lambin Xavier⁶⁵^ORCID,Lombardo Michael P.⁶⁶^ORCID,Lyakhov Andrey¹⁸,Marzal Alfonso³⁶^ORCID,Møller Anders P.⁶⁷,Neves Verónica C.²¹^ORCID,Nielsen Jan Tøttrup⁶⁸,Numerov Alexander⁶⁹^ORCID,Orłowska Beata¹,Oro Daniel⁷⁰^ORCID,Öst Markus⁷¹⁷²^ORCID,Phillips Richard A.⁴⁰,Pietiäinen Hannu⁷³,Polo Vicente⁷⁴,Porkert Jiří⁷⁵^ORCID,Potti Jaime⁷⁶^ORCID,Pöysä Hannu⁷⁷^ORCID,Printemps Thierry⁶,Prop Jouke⁷⁸^ORCID,Quillfeldt Petra⁷⁹^ORCID,Ramos Jaime A.⁸⁰^ORCID,Ravussin Pierre-Alain⁸¹^ORCID,Rosenfield Robert N.⁸²^ORCID,Roulin Alexandre⁸³,Rubenstein Dustin R.⁸⁴^ORCID,Samusenko Irina E.³²^ORCID,Saunders Denis A.⁸⁵^ORCID,Schaub Michael⁶⁵⁸⁶^ORCID,Senar Juan C.⁸⁷^ORCID,Sergio Fabrizio⁷⁶^ORCID,Solonen Tapio⁸⁸^ORCID,Solovyeva Diana V.⁴⁶^ORCID,Stępniewski Janusz⁸⁹^ORCID,Thompson Paul M.⁹⁰^ORCID,Tobolka Marcin⁵²⁹¹^ORCID,Török János⁹²⁹³^ORCID,van de Pol Martijn⁹⁴⁹⁵^ORCID,Vernooij Louis⁹⁴,Visser Marcel E.⁹⁴^ORCID,Westneat David F.⁹⁶^ORCID,Wheelwright Nathaniel T.⁹⁷^ORCID,Wiącek Jarosław⁹⁸^ORCID,Wiebe Karen L.⁹⁹^ORCID,Wood Andrew G.⁴⁰,Wuczyński Andrzej¹⁰⁰^ORCID,Wysocki Dariusz¹⁰¹^ORCID,Zárybnická Markéta¹⁰²^ORCID,Margalida Antoni¹⁰³¹⁰⁴,Halupka Konrad³³^ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Ornithological Station, Faculty of Biological Sciences, University of Wrocław, Wrocław 50-335, Poland

2. Department of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala SE-750 07, Sweden

3. SLU Swedish Species Information Centre, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala SE-750 07, Sweden

4. Department of Ecology and Genetics, University of Oulu, Oulu 90014, Finland

5. Aix Marseille University, University of Avignon, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD), Institut Méditerranéen Biodiversité & Ecologie (IMBE), Aix-en-Provence 13545, France

6. Groupe d’Etudes et de Protection des Busards (GepB), Beurville 52110, France

7. Swiss Ornithological Institute, Sempach CH-6204, Switzerland

8. Department of Zoology, Faculty of Science, Palacky University, Olomouc 771 46, Czech Republic

9. Museum of Natural History, Olomouc 771 73, Czech Republic

10. Private address, Cormost 10800, France

11. USDA Forest Service, International Institute of Tropical Forestry, Sabana Field Research Station, Luquillo 00773, PR

12. Department of Zoology, Institute of Biology, Karelian Research Center, Russian Academy of Sciences, Petrozavodsk 185910, Russia

13. Departamento de Biodiversidad y Gestión Ambiental, Universidad de León, León 24071, Spain

14. Department of Experimental Zoology and Evolutionary Biology, Faculty of Biology, University of Łódź, Łódź 90-237, Poland

15. ”Cavanilles” Institute of Biodiversity and Evolutionary Biology, University of Valencia, Valencia E46080, Spain

16. Department of Natural Sciences, Tromsø University Museum, Tromsø NO-9037, Norway

17. Institute of Avian Research “Vogelwarte Helgoland”, head office Wilhelmshaven, Wilhelmshaven 26386, Germany

18. Institute of Plant and Animal Ecology, Ural Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences, Yekaterinburg 620144, Russia

19. Centre for Conservation Science, Royal Society for the Protection of Birds, Aberdeen AB10 1YP, UK

20. Department of Biological Sciences, Edward J. Meeman Biological Station, and Center for Biodiversity Research, University of Memphis, Memphis TN 38152

21. Institute of Marine Sciences - OKEANOS, University of the Azores, Horta 9901-862, Portugal

22. Private address, 64200 Biarritz, France

23. Department of Zoology & Ecology, College of Science and Engineering, James Cook University, Townsville, QLD 4811, Australia

24. Division of Ecology & Evolution Research, School of Biology, The Australian National University, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia

25. Department of Environmental Conservation, Institute of Biological Sciences, Cardinal Stefan Wyszyński University of Warsaw, Warsaw 01-938, Poland

26. Department of Biology and Center for Environmental Studies, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, VA 23284

27. FitzPatrick Institute of African Ornithology, University of Cape Town, Rondebosch 7701, South Africa

28. Research Centre in Biodiversity and Genetic Resources (CIBIO) / Research Network in Biodiversity and Evolutionary Biology (InBIO), Laboratório Associado, Universidade do Porto, Vairăo 4485-601, Portugal

29. Research Centre in Biodiversity and Genetic Resources (CIBIO) / Research Network in Biodiversity and Evolutionary Biology (InBIO), Laboratório Associado, Instituto Superior de Agronomia, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon 1349-017, Portugal

30. BIOPOLIS Program in Genomics, Biodiversity and Land Planning, Research Centre in Biodiversity and Genetic Resources (CIBIO), Vairăo 4485-661, Portugal

31. Shamir Research Institute and Department of Geography and Environmental Studies, University of Haifa, Haifa 3498838, Israel

32. Laboratory of Ornithology, Scientific and Practical Center for Biological Resources of National Academy of Sciences of Belarus, Minsk 220072, Belarus

33. Department of Behavioural Ecology, Faculty of Biological Sciences, University of Wrocław, Wrocław 50-335, Poland

34. Biology Department, Bates College, Lewiston, ME 04240

35. Division of Organisms and Environment, School of Biosciences, Cardiff University, Cardiff CF10 3AX, UK

36. Department of Anatomy, Cellular Biology and Zoology, University of Extremadura, Badajoz E-506071, Spain

37. Laboratorio de Biología de la Conservación, Centro de Ecología Aplicada del Litoral, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Tecnológicas (CONICET), Corrientes 3400, Argentina

38. Laboratory of Molecular Zoology, National Academy of Sciences, Minsk 220072, Belarus

39. Departamento de Ecología Evolutiva, Instituto de Ecología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Ciudad de México 04510, Mexico

40. British Antarctic Survey, Natural Environment Research Council, Cambridge CB3 0ET, UK

41. Department of Biology, University of Turku, Turku 20014, Finland

42. Australian Antarctic Division, Department of Agriculture, Water and the Environment, 7050 Kingston TAS, Australia

43. Department of Biology, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim 7491, Norway

44. Department of Evolutionary Ecology, Museo Nacional de Ciencias Naturales, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC), Madrid 28006, Spain

45. Departament of Museum Technologies, Zoology Museum, Tomsk State University, Tomsk 634050, Russia

46. Institute of Biological Problems of the North, Far Eastern Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences, Magadan 685000, Russia

47. Department of Biology, University of Konstanz, Konstanz 78457, Germany

48. Center for the Advanced Study of Collective Behaviour, University of Konstanz, Konstanz 78457, Germany

49. Department of Collective Behavior, Max Planck Institute of Animal Behavior, Konstanz 78457, Germany

50. UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Penicuik EH26 0QB, UK

51. Illinois Natural History Survey, Prairie Research Institute, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, IL 61820

52. Institute of Zoology, Poznań University of Life Sciences, Poznań 60-625, Poland

53. Bioeconomy Research Team, Novia University of Applied Sciences, Raseborg FI-10600, Finland

54. Evolutionary Ecology Unit, Department of Biology, Lund University, Lund SE-223 62, Sweden

55. Hastings Reservation, University of California Berkeley, Carmel Valley, CA 93924

56. Cornell Lab of Ornithology, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14850

57. Private address, FI-14870 Tuulos, Finland

58. Institute of Biochemistry and Biophysics, Polish Academy of Sciences, Warsaw 02-106, Poland

59. Department of Zoology and Animal Ecology, Faculty of Biology, University of Latvia, Riga 1004, Latvia

60. Department of Biotechnology, Daugavpils University, Daugavpils 5401, Latvia

61. Department of Zoology, Institute of Ecology and Earth Sciences, University of Tartu, Tartu 51010, Estonia

62. Conservation Services Division, Ezemvelo KwaZulu-Natal Wildlife, Cascades 3202, South Africa

63. School of Life Sciences, Centre for Functional Biodiversity University of KwaZulu-Natal, Pietermaritzburg 3201, South Africa

64. Department of Vertebrate Zoology and Ecology, Tomsk State University, Tomsk 634050, Russia

65. School of Biological Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen AB24 2TZ, UK

66. Biology Department, Grand Valley State University, Allendale, MI 49401-9403

67. Ecologie Systématique Evolution, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Université Paris-Saclay, Gif-sur-Yvette 91190, France

68. Private address, 9870 Sindal, Denmark

69. Department of Zoology and Parasitology, Voronezh State University, Voronezh 394006, Russia

70. Theoretical and Computation Ecology Lab, Centre d'Estudis Acançats de Blanes (CEAB), Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas, Blanes 17300, Spain

71. Environmental and Marine Biology, Åbo Akademi University, Turku 20500, Finland

72. Novia University of Applied Sciences, Raseborg FI-10600, Finland

73. Department of Biosciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki FI-00014, Finland

74. Department of Biology and Geology, Universidad Rey Juan Carlos, Móstoles 28933, Spain

75. Hradec Králové 500 02, Czech Republic

76. Estación Biológica de Dońana - CSIC, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC), Seville 41092, Spain

77. Department of Environmental and Biological Sciences, University of Eastern Finland, Joensuu FI-80101, Finland

78. Arctic Centre, University of Groningen, Groningen 9718CW, the Netherlands

79. Department of Animal Ecology and Systematics, Justus Liebig University, Giessen 35392, Germany

80. Department of Life Sciences, Marine and Environmental Sciences Centre (MARE), University of Coimbra, Coimbra 3000-456, Portugal

81. Private address, CH-1446 Baulmes, Switzerland

82. Department of Biology, University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point, Stevens Point, WI 54481

83. Department of Ecology and Evolution, University of Lausanne, Lausanne CH-1015, Switzerland

84. Department of Ecology, Evolution and Environmental Biology, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027

85. Weetangera, Australian Capital Territory 2614, Australia

86. Division of Conservation Biology, Institute of Ecology and Evolution, University of Bern, Bern CH-3012, Switzerland

87. Departament de Vertebrats, Museu de Ciències Naturals de Barcelona, Barcelona 08003, Spain

88. Luontotutkimus Solonen Oy, Helsinki FI-00960, Finland

89. Panurus Monitoringi Inwentaryzacje Opinie Przyrodnicze, Osieczna 64-113, Poland

90. School of Biological Sciences, Lighthouse Field Station, University of Aberdeen, Cromarty IV11 8YL, UK

91. Konrad Lorenz Institute of Ethology, University of Veterinary Medicine, Vienna 1160, Austria

92. Department of Systematic Zoology and Ecology, Behavioural Ecology Group, ELTE Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest H-1117, Hungary

93. Integrative Ecology Research Group, Eötvös Loránd Research Network - Eötvös Loránd University - The Hungarian Natural History Museum, Budapest H-1117, Hungary

94. Department of Animal Ecology, Netherlands Institute of Ecology, Wageningen 6708PB, the Netherlands

95. Department of Physical Sciences, College of Science and Engineering, James Cook University, Townsville, QLD 4811, Australia

96. Department of Biology, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY 40506-0225

97. Department of Biology, Bowdoin College, Brunswick, ME 04011

98. Department of Zoology and Nature Protection, Institute of Biological Sciences, Maria Curie-Skłodowska University, Lublin 20-033, Poland

99. Department of Biology, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon S7N 5E2, Canada

100. Institute of Nature Conservation, Polish Academy of Sciences, Kraków 31-120, Poland

101. Department of Vertebrate Zoology and Anthropology, Szczecin University, Szczecin 71-415, Poland

102. Department of Ecology, Faculty of Environmental Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Prague 16521, Czech Republic

103. Institute for Game and Wildlife Research, IREC (CSIC-UCLM-JCCM), Ciudad Real E- 13005, Spain

104. Pyrenean Institute of Ecology, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC), Jaca 22700, Spain

Abstract

Climate change affects timing of reproduction in many bird species, but few studies have investigated its influence on annual reproductive output. Here, we assess changes in the annual production of young by female breeders in 201 populations of 104 bird species (N = 745,962 clutches) covering all continents between 1970 and 2019. Overall, average offspring production has declined in recent decades, but considerable differences were found among species and populations. A total of 56.7% of populations showed a declining trend in offspring production (significant in 17.4%), whereas 43.3% exhibited an increase (significant in 10.4%). The results show that climatic changes affect offspring production through compounded effects on ecological and life history traits of species. Migratory and larger-bodied species experienced reduced offspring production with increasing temperatures during the chick-rearing period, whereas smaller-bodied, sedentary species tended to produce more offspring. Likewise, multi-brooded species showed increased breeding success with increasing temperatures, whereas rising temperatures were unrelated to reproductive success in single-brooded species. Our study suggests that rapid declines in size of bird populations reported by many studies from different parts of the world are driven only to a small degree by changes in the production of young.

Funder

Narodowe Centrum Nauki

Publisher

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

Subject

Multidisciplinary

Link

https://pnas.org/doi/pdf/10.1073/pnas.2208389120

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