Population momentum for gradual demographic transitions: an alternative approach-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

Population momentum for gradual demographic transitions: an alternative approach

Published:2002-02-01 Issue:1 Volume:39 Page:65-73
ISSN:0070-3370
Container-title:Demography
language:en
Short-container-title:

Author:

Goldstein Joshua R.¹

Affiliation:

1. Office of Population Research, Princeton University, Wallace Hall, Princeton, NJ 08544

Abstract

Abstract In this article, I derive a simple formula for approximating the ultimate size of a population that undergoes a gradual transition to replacement fertility. I model the fertility transition by specifying a linear frontier on the Lexis surface across which a change in fertility is instantaneous. Gradual transitions result from variations in the slope of this frontier. This framework can be used to reproduce and understand previous studies of population momentum and gradual transitions.

Publisher

Duke University Press

Subject

Demography

Link

http://read.dukeupress.edu/demography/article-pdf/39/1/65/909311/65goldstein.pdf

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