Development and validation of a prognostic immunoinflammatory index for patients with gastric cancer

Abstract

BACKGROUND Studies have demonstrated the influence of immunity and inflammation on the development of tumors. Although single biomarkers of immunity and inflammation have been shown to be clinically predictive, the use of biomarkers integrating both to predict prognosis in patients with gastric cancer remains to be investigated. AIM To investigate the prognostic and clinical significance of inflammatory biomarkers and lymphocytes in patients undergoing surgical treatment for gastric cancer. METHODS Univariate COX regression analysis was performed to identify potential prognostic factors for patients with gastric cancer undergoing surgical treatment. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator-COX (LASSO-COX) regression analysis was performed to integrate these factors and formulate a new prognostic immunoinflammatory index (PII). The correlation between PII and clinical characteristics was statistically analyzed. Nomograms incorporating the PII score were devised and validated based on the time-dependent area under the curve and decision curve analysis. RESULTS Patients exhibiting elevated neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, and systemic immune inflammatory index displayed inferior progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Conversely, low levels of CD3(+), CD3(+) CD8(+), CD4(+)CD8(+), and CD3(+)CD16(+)CD56(+) T lymphocytes were associated with improved PFS and OS, while high CD19(+) T lymphocyte levels were linked to worse PFS and OS. The PII score demonstrated associations with tumor characteristics (primary tumor site and tumor size), establishing itself as an independent prognostic factor for both PFS and OS. Time-dependent area under the curve and decision curve analysis affirmed the effectiveness of the PII-based nomogram as a robust prognostic predictive model. CONCLUSION PII may be a reliable predictor of prognosis in patients with gastric cancer undergoing surgical treatment, and it offers insights into cancer-related immune-inflammatory responses, with potential significance in clinical practice.