Born to Rebel and Its Critics

Author:

Sulloway Frank J.

Abstract

Frederic Townsend's critique of Born to Rebel (Sulloway, 1996) is based on an unfortunate pattern of misrepresentation and faulty empirical methods. First, the historical data in Born to Rebel are neither unrepresentative nor undisclosed. They were compiled with the help of 110 expert raters, who validated their representative nature and operationalized the principal outcome measures. Second, birth order is moderately associated with political radicalism, especially in real-life and within-family studies. Third, the meta-analytic data are statistically compelling for various behavioral attributes, although effect sizes are generally modest. Fourth, recent studies using large samples and anchored scales demonstrate the influence of birth order on a wide variety of personality traits, especially in within-family comparisons. In addition, the relationship between birth order and openness to radical innovation—highlighted in Born to Rebel—has been replicated by other researchers. Because Townsend fails to employ formal methods of hypothesis testing—relying instead on selected anecdotal examples, adversarial tactics, and an inadequate grasp of statistical principles—he has drawn numerous false conclusions about the influence of birth order.

Publisher

Cambridge University Press (CUP)

Subject

Public Administration,Social Sciences (miscellaneous),Sociology and Political Science

Reference123 articles.

1. The status of controls in the birth-order literature is not always straightforward, so I have adopted a four-step scheme for such controls in my own meta-analysis: (0) studies without any mention of controls; (1) studies in which controls, although mentioned as variables that were included in the study, are not employed in any of the relevant statistical tests; (2) studies in which sibship size and social class are “partially controlled” (for example, by the presence of tests for birth-order effects in sibship sizes of two versus sibship sizes of three or more); and (3) studies that are “fully controlled” by the inclusion of control variables in a formal analysis of variance or multiple regression model, or by multilevel stratification of data according to control variables. Only studies coded “2” or “3” are considered by me as “controlled” for a given variable in my analysis ( Sulloway , 2002b). By contrast, Ernst and Angst (1983), and following them, Townsend, sometimes consider studies coded as “1” as being controlled. The meta-analytic results in my Table 3 include only those studies for which Ernst and Angst (1983) report the presence of controls. Anyone who carefully checks the publications in Townsend's (2000) Appendix B, which lists 26 studies in which controls for sibship size or social class were supposedly overlooked by Ernst and Angst (1983), will find that more than two-thirds of the codable outcomes have the status of their controls or findings incorrectly reported by Townsend, thus undermining the validity of his claims. Elsewhere I analyze studies with overlooked controls ( Sulloway , 2002b).

2. For the data summarized in Table 4, the mean correlation for sex differences in the Big Five personality dimension scores is .12 (N=4,716), which is similar to effect sizes reported elsewhere ( Costa and McCrae , 1992; Feingold , 1994; Costa , Terracciano , and McCrae , 2001).

3. To their credit, Ernst and Angst (1983:ix) explicitly warn readers about some of these problems, such as the omission of some published findings from their discussions. Although I corrected errors and identified many overlooked findings in my earlier meta-analysis ( Sulloway , 1995), I did not detect all such instances. These additional corrections (and findings) do not in any way affect the general conclusions that I reached in my earlier vote-counting meta-analysis.

4. For dominance and birth order among spouses, pr=-.07 (N=780, p<.05; this and subsequent effects are controlled for age, sex, sibship size, and social class). For dominance and birth order among roommates, pr=-.16 (N=165, p<.05). For friends, the same partial correlation is -.05 (N=1,063, p<.14). For the relationship between birth order and dominance with respect to a female friend, pr=-.09 (N=630, p<.03).

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