Remittances, Nonlabor Income as a Source of Hysteresis in Unemployment in Colombia, 2010–2020

Author:

Cardona-Arenas Carlos DavidORCID,Sierra-Suarez Lya Paola

Abstract

Abstract This study seeks to determine the impact of remittances and nonlabor income on the duration of unemployment, and therefore on the hysteresis phenomenon in Colombia for the period between January 2010 and January 2021. The long-term unemployment rate in Colombia (LAPU) is calculated, and a vector autoregressive (VAR) model is subsequently estimated to evaluate the impact of remittances and nonlabor income on the LAPU. The results suggest that the increase in nonlabor income significantly affected LAPU in Colombia in the period analyzed. The growth of remittances instead turned out to positively and significantly impact LAPU only during the COVID-19 pandemic crisis. This suggests that remittances have become a fundamental income in times of crisis that allow for financing the search for work for a longer period of time, thus increasing the duration of unemployment and generating a hysteresis effect.

Publisher

Cambridge University Press (CUP)

Subject

Sociology and Political Science,Geography, Planning and Development,Multidisciplinary,General Arts and Humanities,History,Literature and Literary Theory,General Economics, Econometrics and Finance,Development,Anthropology,Cultural Studies,Political Science and International Relations

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