Simulations of enhanced malaria transmission and host bias induced by modified vector blood location behaviour

Abstract

SummaryMonte Carlo simulations were developed to assess the potential impact of parasite pathology on vector salivary function as well as of host haemostasis on transmission. Assuming that a proportion of desisting vectors switch host following failure to locate blood, we demonstrate three possible consequences: (1) infected vectors contact more hosts than non-infected hosts, (2) non-infected vectors are biased to infected hosts, independently of attraction, and (3) an exponential relationship exists between parasite load and transmission. We discuss possible epidemiological implications.