Lateral Collision Risk In Air Traffic Track Systems: A ‘Post-Reich’ Event Model

Abstract

A model is developed for lateral collision risk in air traffic track systems, which resolves the problems of the Reich Model. It is a direct and concrete approach focusing on events, in contrast to Reich's synthetic methodology, in which (e.g.) three types of collision have to be modelled and the focus is on flying hours spent away from the planned flight path. This model makes it straightforward to see what is being assumed, and easy to understand the roles of the main parameters. It is a good starting point for the incorporation of collision detection and the use of hazard analysis.