CHANGE POINT TESTS FOR THE TAIL INDEX OF β-MIXING RANDOM VARIABLES

Abstract

The tail index as a measure of tail thickness provides information that is not captured by standard volatility measures. It may however change over time. Currently available procedures for detecting those changes for dependent data (e.g., Quintos et al., 2001) are all based on comparing Hill (1975) estimates from different subsamples. We derive tests for a wide class of other tail index estimators. The limiting distribution of the test statistics is shown not to depend on the particular choice of the estimator, while the assumptions on the dependence structure allow for sufficient generality in applications. A simulation study investigates empirical sizes and powers of the tests in finite samples.