On the age distribution of a Markov chain

Author:

Pakes Anthony G.

Abstract

This paper develops the notion of the limiting age of an absorbing Markov chain, conditional on the present state. Chains with a single absorbing state {0} are considered and with such a chain can be associated a return chain,obtained by restarting the original chain at a fixed state after each absorption. The limiting age,A(j), is the weak limit of the timegivenXn=j(n → ∞).A criterion for the existence of this limit is given and this is shown to be fulfilled in the case of the return chains constructed from the Galton–Watson process and the left-continuous random walk. Limit theorems forA(J) (J →∞) are given for these examples.

Publisher

Cambridge University Press (CUP)

Subject

Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty,General Mathematics,Statistics and Probability

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