ESTIMATING FAILURE PROPAGATION IN MODELS OF CASCADING BLACKOUTS

Author:

Dobson Ian,Carreras Benjamin A.,Lynch Vickie E.,Nkei Bertrand,Newman David E.

Abstract

We compare and test statistical estimates of failure propagation in data from versions of a probabilistic model of loading-dependent cascading failure and a power system blackout model of cascading transmission line overloads. The comparisons suggest mechanisms affecting failure propagation and are an initial step toward monitoring failure propagation from practical system data. Approximations to the probabilistic model describe the forms of probability distribution of cascade sizes.

Publisher

Cambridge University Press (CUP)

Subject

Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering,Management Science and Operations Research,Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty,Statistics and Probability

Reference20 articles.

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