Author:
Percus O. E.,Percus J. K.
Abstract
An iterated sequence of Bernoulli trials is carried out and the success probability estimated at each point on the sequence by the current success ratio. We find the probability P
1 that this estimate always lies above some pre-selected rational fraction p′, and its complement P
2, the probability that it will reach p′ or below at least once. In the region p′ ≧ p, P
1 = 0. In the region p′ < p, P
1 ≠ 0 and is furthermore a discontinuous function of p′ at every rational p′.
Publisher
Cambridge University Press (CUP)
Subject
Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty,General Mathematics,Statistics and Probability