Bayesian Refinement of a Stratified Sequence of Radiometric Dates from Punta De Chimino, Guatemala

Abstract

Bayesian analysis of 6 radiocarbon and 2 luminescence determinations from Punta de Chimino's acropolis provides subcentury chronometric accuracy for a Protoclassic hiatus and a more decisive, incipient Early Classic abandonment. For the latter event, sensitivity tests and a redundant modal value pattern reduce the period of historical interest from a few centuries to several decades. The findings aid in selecting between 2 historical scenarios and demonstrate that improved chronological accuracy is attainable for sites and contexts lacking calendrical dates.