Leading Indicators of Regional Cotton Acreage Response: Structural and Time Series Modeling Results

Author:

Houston Jack E.,McIntosh Christopher S.,Stavriotis Paul A.,Turner Steve C.

Abstract

AbstractResurgent cotton production compels better acreage forecasts for planning seed, chemical, and other input requirements. Structural models describe leading acreage response indicators, and forecasts are compared to time-series models. Cotton price, loan rate, deficiency payments, lagged corn acreage, the PIK program, and previous cotton yield significantly influence cotton acreage response.

Publisher

Cambridge University Press (CUP)

Subject

Economics and Econometrics,Agricultural and Biological Sciences (miscellaneous)

Reference19 articles.

1. Alternative Forms of Price Expectations in Supply Analysis for U.S. Corn and Soybean Acreages.;Shideed;Western Journal of Agricultural Economics,1989

2. The Effect of Government Programs on Acreage Response over Time: The Case of Corn Production in Iowa.;McIntosh;Western Journal of Agricultural Economics,1989

3. On the Search for Econometric Structure in Agriculture

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