Author:
Langley P. A.,Weidhaas D.
Abstract
AbstractA deterministic simulation model for Glossina spp. based upon a simple life-history analysis was used to test a variety of effects designed to cause a decline in population numbers. Average daily survival values for pupae were varied to make populations grow at different rates. All age classes were then updated for all life stages each day for a 12-month period. As expected, the population remained stable when Ro = 1·0, and the population doubled in 105 days when Ro = 2·0. Sub-routines were added to test the effects of trapping 0·5 to 2·5% of the population per day and killing both sexes, sterilizing and releasing both sexes or sterilizing and releasing males only, the females not being trapped. Results suggest that killing or sterilizing both sexes is always superior to sterilizing males only and leaving the females unharmed but that this superiority is diminished when either population growth rates are low (<1·0) or trapping rates are high (>2·0% per day). As population growth rate increases or trapping rates decline, there is a proportionately greater advantage to be gained by sterilizing both sexes than by adopting either of the other two strategies. A situation is illustrated where for a trapping rate of 1% per day within a population that is doubling at close to its optimal rate (Ro = 2·0) sterilization of both sexes is the only strategy which will cause a population decline. Results are discussed in terms of development of low technology, cost-effective methods of tsetse control which are non-polluting and therefore environmentally acceptable.
Publisher
Cambridge University Press (CUP)
Subject
Insect Science,Agronomy and Crop Science,General Medicine
Cited by
34 articles.
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