Author:
AKUDIBILLAH G.,PANDEY A.,MEDLOCK J.
Abstract
SUMMARYAntiretroviral therapy (ART) is increasingly being used as an HIV-prevention tool, administered to uninfected people with ongoing HIV exposure as pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) and to infected people to reduce their infectiousness. We used a modelling approach to determine the optimal population-level combination of ART and PrEP allocations required in South Africa to maximize programme effectiveness for four outcome measures: new infections, infection-years, death and cost. We considered two different strategies for allocating treatment, one that selectively allocates drugs to sex workers and one that does not. We found that for low treatment availability, prevention through PrEP to the general population or PrEP and ART to sex workers is key to maximizing effectiveness, while for higher drug availability, ART to the general population is optimal. At South Africa's current level of treatment availability, using prevention is most effective at reducing new infections, infection-years, and cost, while using the treatment as ART to the general population best reduces deaths. At treatment levels that meet the UNAIDS's ambitious new 90–90–90 target, using all or almost all treatment as ART to the general population best reduces all four outcome measures considered.
Publisher
Cambridge University Press (CUP)
Subject
Infectious Diseases,Epidemiology
Reference39 articles.
1. Preventing HIV transmission with antiretrovirals
2. Gonorrhea Transmission Dynamics and Control
3. Statistics South Africa. Mid-year population estimates 2014 (http://www.statssa.gov.za/publications/P0302/P03022014.pdf). Accessed 21 October 2015.
4. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Preexposure prophylaxis for the prevention of HIV infection in the United States – 2014 (http://www.cdc.gov/HIV/pdf/guidelines/PrEPguidelines2014.pdf). Accessed 25 September 2015.
5. HIV Treatment as Prevention
Cited by
15 articles.
订阅此论文施引文献
订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献