Risk maps for the presence and absence ofPhlebotomus perniciosusin an endemic area of leishmaniasis in southern Spain: implications for the control of the disease

Abstract

SUMMARYThe aim of this study was to construct risk maps for the presence of the dominantLeishmania infantumvector,P. perniciosus,and check its usefulness (a) to predict the risk of canine leishmaniasis and (b) to define effective leishmaniasis control measures. We obtained data for the presence/absence ofP. perniciosusat 167 sampling sites in southern Spain, from which we also took a series of ecological and climate-related data. The probability ofP. perniciosuspresence was estimated as a function of these environmental variables and generated spatial risk maps. Altitude, land use and drainage hole features (with or without PVC piping) were retained as the only predictors for the distribution of this vector species. Drainage hole features in retaining walls, with or without PVC piping, produce significant variations in the probability ofP. perniciosuspresence, varying from 2·3 to 91·8% if PVC piping is absent and from 0·4 to 66·5% if all holes have PVC piping. It was concluded that the use of PVC piping in drainage holes could help to reduce leishmaniasis transmission.