COVID-19 cluster identification and support vector machine classifier model construction using global healthcare and socio-economic features

Author:

Guha Soumya Kanti,Sadhukhan Sandip,Niyogi SougataORCID

Abstract

Abstract Coronaviruses of the human variety have been the culprit of global epidemics of varying levels of lethality, including COVID-19, which has impacted more than 200 countries and resulted in 5.7 million fatalities as of May 2022. Effective clinical management necessitates the allocation of sufficient resources and the employment of appropriately skilled personnel. The elderly population and individuals with diabetes are at increased risk of more severe manifestations of COVID-19. Countries with a higher gross domestic product (GDP) typically exhibit superior health outcomes and reduced mortality rates. Here, we suggest a predictive model for the density of medical doctors and nursing personnel for 134 countries using a support vector machine (SVM). The model was trained in 107 countries and tested in 27, with promising results shown by the kappa statistics and ROC analysis. The SVM model used for predictions showed promising results with a high level of agreement between actual and predicted cluster values.

Publisher

Cambridge University Press (CUP)

Subject

Infectious Diseases,Epidemiology

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