Author:
YANG L. P.,LIU J.,WANG X. J.,MA W.,JIA C. X.,JIANG B. F.
Abstract
SUMMARYScrub typhus is emerging and re-emerging in many areas: climate change may affect its spread. To explore the effects of meteorological factors on scrub typhus, monthly cases of scrub typhus from January 2006 to December 2012 in the Laiwu district of temperate northern China were analysed. We examined the correlations between scrub typhus and meteorological factors (and their delayed effects). We built a time-series adjusted negative binomial model to reflect the relationships between climate variables and scrub typhus cases. The key determinants of scrub typhus transmission were temperature, relative humidity and precipitation. Each 1°C increase in monthly average temperature in the previous 3 months, each 1% increase in monthly relative humidity in the previous 2 months and each 1 mm increase in monthly precipitation in the previous 3 months induced 15·4%, 12·6% and 0·7% increases in the monthly number of cases, respectively. In conclusion, scrub typhus is affected by climate change in temperate regions.
Publisher
Cambridge University Press (CUP)
Subject
Infectious Diseases,Epidemiology
Reference48 articles.
1. Emergency ambulance dispatches and apparent temperature: A time series analysis in Emilia–Romagna, Italy
2. Winter air pollution and infant bronchiolitis in Paris
3. Current epidemic status and issues on prevention and control of scrub typhus;Zhang;Chinese Journal of Epidemiology,2011
4. A Wide and Heavy Infestation with Leptotrombidium scutellare Larvae in the Western Part of Kanagawa Prefecture, Japan (Trombidiformes, Trombiculidae);Kimito;Journal of the Acarological Society of Japan,1994
5. Climate change characteristics and effects on agricultural production in Laiwu;Bu;Modern Ecological Agriculture,2006
Cited by
47 articles.
订阅此论文施引文献
订阅此论文施引文献，注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献，订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献