Accuracy of Prenatal Ultrasound in Detecting Growth Abnormalities in Triplets: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Abstract

Significant management decisions in triplet pregnancies are made based mainly on ultrasound measurements of fetal growth, although there is a paucity of data examining the accuracy of fetal weight measurements in these gestations. To evaluate accuracy of prenatal ultrasound to diagnose growth abnormalities (intrauterine growth restriction, severe growth discordance) in triplet pregnancies, a retrospective cohort study of 78 triplet pregnancies (234 fetuses) delivered at a single tertiary hospital from January 2004 to May 2015 was performed. Growth percentiles from the last ultrasound were derived from estimated fetal weight using Hadlock's formula for each triplet. Growth discordance was calculated for each triplet set using the formula {(estimated fetal weight largest triplet - estimated fetal weight smallest)/estimated fetal weight largest}. These estimations were compared to birth weights. Sensitivity of ultrasound to predict ≥1 growth restricted fetus in a triplet set was 55.6% [95% CI 35.3, 74.5]; specificity was 100% [95% CI 93.0, 100]; positive predictive value (PPV) 100% [95% CI 74.7, 100]; negative predictive value (NPV) 81.0% [95% CI 73.2, 85.7%]. Sensitivity of ultrasound to detect fetal growth discordance >25% in a triplet set was 80.0% [95% CI 44.4, 97.5], specificity 94.1% [95% CI 85.6, 98.4]; PPV 66.7% [95% CI 42.4, 84.5]; NPV 97.0% [95% CI 90.2, 99.1]. Prenatal ultrasound currently remains the most reliable tool to screen for growth anomalies in triplet pregnancies; however, it appears to have less than ideal sensitivity, missing a number of cases of intra-uterine growth restriction and significant growth discordance.