Trends in disguise-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

Trends in disguise

Published:2014-09-16 Issue:1 Volume:9 Page:58-71
ISSN:1748-4995
Container-title:Annals of Actuarial Science
language:en
Short-container-title:Ann. actuar. sci.

Author:

Brazauskas Vytaras,Jones Bruce L.,Zitikis Ričardas

Abstract

AbstractHuman longevity is changing, but at what rate? Insurance claims are increasing, but at what rate? Are the trends that we glean from data true or illusionary? The shocking fact is that true trends might be quite different from those that we actually see from visualised data. Indeed, in some situations the upward trends (e.g. inflation) may even look decreasing (e.g. deflation). In this paper, we discuss this “trends in disguise” phenomenon in detail and offer a way for estimating true trends.

Publisher

Cambridge University Press (CUP)

Subject

Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty,Economics and Econometrics,Statistics and Probability

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