The exact asymptotics of the large deviation probabilities in the multivariate boundary crossing problem

Abstract

AbstractFor a multivariate random walk with independent and identically distributed jumps satisfying the Cramér moment condition and having mean vector with at least one negative component, we derive the exact asymptotics of the probability of ever hitting the positive orthant that is being translated to infinity along a fixed vector with positive components. This problem is motivated by and extends results of Avram et al. (2008) on a two-dimensional risk process. Our approach combines the large deviation techniques from a series of papers by Borovkov and Mogulskii from around 2000 with new auxiliary constructions, enabling us to extend their results on hitting remote sets with smooth boundaries to the case of boundaries with a ‘corner’ at the ‘most probable hitting point’. We also discuss how our results can be extended to the case of more general target sets.