The state of American health care: November 2016 to November 2020, a look forward

Author:

Marmor Theodore,Gusmano Michael K.

Abstract

AbstractThe election of Donald Trump, coupled with the retention of Republican majorities in the US House of Representatives and Senate, raises questions about future of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, the structure and funding of the country’s public health insurance programs – Medicare, Medicaid and the Child Health Insurance Program – and the direction of health policy in the United States, more generally. Political scientists are not renowned for their capacity to predict the future and many of those who forecast election results have received criticism in recent weeks for failing to predict the Trump victory. While the future is uncertain, it is possible for social scientists to offer a ‘conditional causal analysis’ about the future. This essay is an effort to think about the likely shape of American health care between now and the next US presidential election.

Publisher

Cambridge University Press (CUP)

Subject

Health Policy

Reference19 articles.

1. Artiga S. and Rudowitz R. (2014), Medicaid Enrollment Under the Affordable Care Act: Understanding the Numbers. Kaiser Family Foundation, http://kff.org/health-reform/issue-brief/medicaid-enrollment-under-the-affordable-care-act-understanding-the-numbers/ [23 November 2016].

2. Forecasting American Health Care: How We Got Here and Where We Might Be Going

3. Do We Really Want to Control Health Care Spending?

4. Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (2016), Promises and Price Tags: An Update. Budgets & Projections, September 22, http://crfb.org/papers/promises-and-price-tags-preliminary-update [22 November 2016].

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