Spectacular Increases in Crop Yields in the United States in the Twentieth Century

Abstract

About 15 years ago, I heard several speakers saying that our crop yields were “leveling off.” This stimulated me to assemble data on the subject. The result is shown in Table 1, which gives the U.S. average yields for 10-yr periods during this century for nine crops. The increases are spectacular, varying from two- to sevenfold. Factors contributing to these increases differ from crop to crop. To obtain information on this subject, several experts on each crop were consulted, and their conclusions are summarized in the following text. Only those factors contributing to increased yields are covered. However, great improvements in efficiency of production, product quality, and reduction in soil erosion also have occurred as cultivars and production practices have changed. For most of the crops, increases in yields started in the 1940s and have increased dramatically during the rest of the century. We have not attempted to predict the future at this time, but the rate at which yields are increasing does not appear to be slowing.